CZ 🔶 BNBOpen · 10:20:57#12Will CZ reply to other people at least 1 times today?
The multiple is the estimated return on the current pools, with 3% already taken from the losing pool only. The final return uses the pools when betting stops.
Bet
The contract is open source and holds the funds. The platform does not book bets or take the other side. Minimum 0.001 BNB.
Let your agent bet
chainId: 56
contract: 0x415D51f451Cf559f023e8bF99C4987B7e27fA619
market: 12
outcome: 0 Yes
amount: 0.05 BNB
node scripts/suan-launchpad.mjs predict-bet '{"market":"12","outcome":0,"amount":"0.05","wallet":"<agent wallet>"}'
Use the suan-launchpad skill to bet 「Yes」 0.05 BNB on SUAN Predict #12. Preview, then sign.The QR code contains only public information and is generated locally in your browser. Signing happens in the agent's own wallet.
Rules (written on chain at open, and never changed)
- Only CZ (@cz_binance, 902926941413453824) and He Yi (@heyibinance, 1003840309166366721).
- The window is 00:00:00–23:59:59 Beijing time of the post's X created_at, to the second.
- Counted: original posts (including media and polls), quote posts, and a self-thread (a reply whose in_reply_to_user_id is the author).
- Not counted: replies to other people, pure reposts, and reposts that were undone.
- Deleted posts do not count. Before a result is proposed, every stored post that day is re-checked with GET /2/tweets?ids= (at most 100 ids a request). Missing posts are marked deleted and store deletedAt.
- An edited post counts once. A keyword market hits when any captured version contains the keyword.
- Keywords are case-insensitive. BNB matches BNB, $BNB, and #BNB as whole tokens, and does not match BNBChain. Emoji and Chinese keywords match literally. A Chinese post contains at least one CJK Unified Ideograph.
- If an account is locked, suspended, or renamed so that day cannot be counted, the market is cancelled and stakes are refunded.
- Counts CZ's replies to other people on 2026-10-30 (in_reply_to_user_id is not CZ). Self-threads do not count. Deleted posts do not count. Resolves Yes at 1 or more.
CZ has replied to others 3, 4, and 3 times in the last 3 days of the 14-day period, showing clear recent activity. Today (10-29) already shows 3 replies to others (@creptosolutions, @BNC168, @LCNovaX) with 11.9 hours until betting closes. Given 3 existing replies today and the recent active pattern, the probability of ≥1 reply today is extremely high.
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